WN 241 · DEN → STL

departs 3:48 PM MT · arrives 6:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.35 in

STL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 241 · DEN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?