WN 2421 · AUS → ONT

took off 10:55 AM CT · landed 11:34 AM PT (scheduled 10:49 AM CT → 12:01 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ONT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.15 in

ONT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2421 · AUS → ONT

Odds over time

How late did it get to ONT?