Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2441 LANDED 12:17 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2441 · BNA → CVG

took off 10:36 AM CT · landed 12:17 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2441 · BNA → CVG

Odds over time