Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2465 · LGA → MDW
departs 7:25 AM ET · arrives 8:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 14%
Fri 10/2 13%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.