WN 2474 · PHX → SEA

took off 9:27 AM MT · landed 12:05 PM PT (scheduled 9:01 AM MT → 11:58 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from PHX are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2474 · PHX → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?