Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2524 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:02 PM ET, ETA 2:43 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2524 · IND → DAL

took off 2:02 PM ET · expected to land 2:43 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2524 · IND → DAL

Odds over time