Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2526 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2526 · AUS → PIT

departs 2:59 PM CT · arrives 6:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.17 in

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2526 · AUS → PIT

Odds over time