Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2545 LANDED 10:24 AM ET, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2545 · BUF → TPA

took off 8:13 AM ET · landed 10:24 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2545 · BUF → TPA

Odds over time