Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2546 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 2546 · SAN → OGG

departs 11:13 AM PT · arrives 1:30 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from SAN are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2546 · SAN → OGG

Odds over time