Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2547
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2547 · MAF → AUS
departs 3:30 PM CT · arrives 4:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MAF that day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
3pm departures from MAF are usually not late
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.13 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.