WN 259 · HOU → BNA

departs 7:42 AM CT · arrives 9:41 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 259 · HOU → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?