WN 25 · SDF → DAL

took off 10:56 AM ET · landed 11:34 AM CT (scheduled 10:49 AM ET → 11:59 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 25 · SDF → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?