WN 2611 · MHT → MCO

departs 1:22 PM ET · arrives 4:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ MHT is prone to delays

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MHT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2611 · MHT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?