Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2624 · DEN → PHX
departs 5:30 PM MT · arrives 6:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.