WN 2664 · MDW → ALB

took off 9:18 AM CT · landed 11:47 AM ET (scheduled 8:23 AM CT → 11:27 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ALB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.94 in

ALB (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2664 · MDW → ALB

Odds over time

How late did it get to ALB?