WN 2673 · MDW → AUS

departs 8:27 PM CT · arrives 11:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 8pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.99 in

AUS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2673 · MDW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?