WN 2691 · MDW → BZN

took off 10:29 AM CT · landed 12:21 PM MT (scheduled 9:56 AM CT → 12:12 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BZN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 1.75 mi forecast at BZN that day

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.09 in

BZN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2691 · MDW → BZN

Odds over time

How late did it get to BZN?