Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2763 · HOU → MDW
departs 11:30 AM CT · arrives 1:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.13 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.