Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2782
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2782 · OKC → DEN
departs 2:00 PM CT · arrives 2:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±8 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.60 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.