Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2798 LANDED 11:42 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

WN 2798 · MDW → PIT

took off 9:46 AM CT · landed 11:42 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.94 in

PIT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2798 · MDW → PIT

Odds over time