WN 281 · LAS → BUR

departs 9:19 AM PT · arrives 10:28 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 281 · LAS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?