WN 2833 · MDW → SLC

departs 8:38 PM CT · arrives 11:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.92 in

SLC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2833 · MDW → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?