WN 2845 · LGA → DAL

took off 5:58 PM ET · landed 7:55 PM CT (scheduled 4:26 PM ET → 6:50 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2845 · LGA → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?