WN 2883 · OMA → MDW

took off 6:01 AM CT · landed 7:07 AM CT (scheduled 5:44 AM CT → 7:20 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.57 in

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2883 · OMA → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?