WN 2890 · MKE → STL

took off 8:22 AM CT · landed 9:18 AM CT (scheduled 8:19 AM CT → 9:44 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ 8am departures from MKE are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2890 · MKE → STL

Odds over time

How late did it get to STL?