WN 2931 · MSY → HOU

departs 7:09 AM CT · arrives 8:26 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day

↑ MSY is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2931 · MSY → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?