WN 2942 · AMA → DAL

took off 11:57 AM CT · landed 12:49 PM CT (scheduled 11:46 AM CT → 1:07 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at AMA that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ 11am departures from AMA are usually not late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.58 in

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2942 · AMA → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?