WN 294 · MDW → BWI

took off 1:13 PM CT · landed 3:35 PM ET (scheduled 12:36 PM CT → 3:35 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BWI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.08 in

BWI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 294 · MDW → BWI

Odds over time

How late did it get to BWI?