Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 298 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:29 PM CT, ETA 4:34 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 298 · MDW → HOU

took off 2:29 PM CT · expected to land 4:34 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±5 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.09 in

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 298 · MDW → HOU

Odds over time