Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3013 LANDED 7:10 AM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

WN 3013 · BOS → STL

took off 5:50 AM ET · landed 7:10 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from BOS are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

STL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3013 · BOS → STL

Odds over time