Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3036 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

WN 3036 · OMA → DEN

took off 7:40 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 7:11 PM CT → 7:51 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.57 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3036 · OMA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?