WN 3051 · PNS → STL

took off 6:38 PM CT · expected to land 8:01 PM CT (scheduled 6:14 PM CT → 8:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from PNS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3051 · PNS → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?