WN 3053 · SMF → PSP

took off 10:34 AM PT · landed 11:50 AM PT (scheduled 8:54 AM PT → 10:29 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PSP is prone to delays

↑ SMF is prone to delays

↑ SMF is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

↓ Arrivals into PSP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3053 · SMF → PSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to PSP?