Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3097
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3097 · OGG → HNL
departs 5:30 PM HT · arrives 6:15 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 11%
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.