Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3147 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:08 AM ET, ETA 7:35 AM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 3147 · PHL → DEN

took off 6:08 AM ET · expected to land 7:35 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3147 · PHL → DEN

Odds over time