WN 3151 · SAN → MCI

took off 12:07 PM PT · landed 4:45 PM CT (scheduled 11:04 AM PT → 4:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SAN are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,620 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3151 · SAN → MCI

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCI?