Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3153 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:12 AM ET, ETA 7:16 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 3153 · IND → AUS

took off 6:12 AM ET · expected to land 7:16 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at AUS that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3153 · IND → AUS

Odds over time