Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3217 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 3217 · PHX → MCI

departs 6:13 PM MT · arrives 10:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3217 · PHX → MCI

Odds over time