WN 3265 · HOU → JAN

departs 6:27 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ JAN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

JAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3265 · HOU → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?