Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3266
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3266 · PHX → DEN
departs 6:15 PM MT · arrives 9:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 29%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 29% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.