Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3311
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3311 · PHX → OMA
departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 11:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 25%
Fri 10/2 31%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.76 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.