Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3358
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3358 · PHX → TUS
departs 9:55 PM MT · arrives 10:50 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.