WN 3414 · SAN → DEN

departs 3:14 PM PT · arrives 6:33 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ 3pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3414 · SAN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?