Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3436
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 3436 · DAL → JAX
departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 1:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 21%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.15 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.