WN 345 · DAL → MCO

departs 4:29 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

MCO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 345 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?