WN 3489 · SAT → ELP

took off 8:14 AM CT · landed 8:23 AM MT (scheduled 8:09 AM CT → 8:51 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ELP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ELP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

ELP (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3489 · SAT → ELP

Odds over time

How late did it get to ELP?