WN 3500 · SAT → MCI

departs 11:45 AM CT · arrives 1:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Other factors

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

MCI (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3500 · SAT → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?