Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 3501 · DAL → MCO
departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 9/30
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.