WN 3524 · STL → HOU

departs 5:58 AM CT · arrives 7:57 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from STL are usually not late

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3524 · STL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?