WN 353 · SNA → OAK

took off 11:14 AM PT · landed 12:14 PM PT (scheduled 11:04 AM PT → 12:37 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SNA are often late

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 353 · SNA → OAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAK?